Tiger beating the odds!

As another major is just a stone throw away a question posed by many (including myself) Why is Tiger Woods always one of the betting favourites…. even when he’s not playing very well?

Tiger Woods of the United States gestures to a fan to be quiet from the fifth green during first round play at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational golf tournament in Akron

Despite his poor play so far this season, Tiger, at 15-1, is second only to Rory McIlroy in terms of having the best odds to win the PGA Championship. He hovered around the same odds for last month’s British Open (I don’t have to tell you he didn’t win that one) and the U.S. Open at Pinehurst — an event he seemed to have no chance of even playing in after his March 31 back surgery. So, why is that the case?

The answer has to do with incentives. Bookmakers do factor in things like recent form when they set odds, but mostly they’re just trying to set prices that will entice people into placing a bet.

The general public tends to bet off its basic knowledge, so people who know Tiger won a lot in the past will typically bet on him no matter what. Meanwhile, a guy like Jimmy Walker who is putting together a much better season, but casual golf fans aren’t as familiar with Walker as they are with Woods.

To get more bets flowing in on a guy like Walker, bookmakers need to grab people’s attention with the prospect of a bigger payoff. That’s why Walker is 50-1 to win the PGA Championship despite already winning three times this season, and Tiger is 15-1.

Yep, so all in all… I still don’t get it haha!

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